A fast-moving market-timing strategy that swings between leveraged tech, bearish trades, volatility funds, defensive stocks, bonds, and KMLM based on trend and “too hot/too cold” signals.

This strategy constantly asks: “Is the tech market trending up or down, and is it stretched too far?” It mainly watches TQQQ, a turbocharged fund tied to the Nasdaq-100. It uses simple signals: price vs. recent average trend, and RSI, which measures whether something has been bought too aggressively or sold too hard lately. Depending on those signals, it jumps between aggressive tech bets, bearish bets against tech, volatility funds, a defensive stock mix (Lilly, Novo, Costco, GE), bonds, or KMLM, a managed-futures fund often used as a diversifier in rough markets.

Out-of-sample: ~65% annualized return vs ~17% for the S&P; Sharpe ~1.21 vs ~1.04; drawdown ~30% vs ~19% for the S&P. The strategy dynamically shifts among leveraged tech, volatility, and defensives to capture rallies and hedge declines.