The Golden Ratio FTLT ratios (153/34% MDD) Since 2011
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About
A daily, rules‑based trend strategy across tech, EM, Treasuries, gold, and REITs. It rides uptrends with leveraged ETFs, buys deep dips, and switches to hedges or bonds when momentum overheats or trends weaken.
It splits money into 5 sleeves: US tech stocks (42%), emerging markets (26%), bonds/tech mix (16%), gold (10%), and real estate (6%). It’s trend‑following: price above a long‑term average = risk‑on; below = defensive. RSI (0–100) flags overbought/oversold; high RSI can trigger hedges (inverse or volatility funds), low RSI buys dips. It mainly uses leveraged funds tied to the Nasdaq‑100, S&P 500, EM, REITs, long‑term US Treasuries, and gold. Rebalanced daily.
Out-of-sample, this diversified trend strategy delivers superior risk-adjusted performance vs the S&P 500: Sharpe ~1.55 vs 1.40, Calmar ~2.89, and ~75% annualized return vs ~29%. Drawdowns are higher (~26% vs ~14%), but upside capture is strong.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 21, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following,tactical,leveraged etfs,relative strength,volatility hedge,em,gold,reits,treasuries,systematic,daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 24 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
DRN
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
DRV
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares
Stocks
EDC
Direxion Daily Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares, Shares of beneficial interest, no par value
Stocks
EDZ
Direxion Daily Emerging Markets Bear 3x Shares
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
GLL
ProShares UltraShort Gold
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IGIB
iShares Trust iShares 5-10 Year Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF
Stocks
IVV
iShares Core S&P 500 ETF
Stocks