The Golden Ratio FTLT
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About
A five-bucket, golden‑ratio weighted portfolio that rotates among leveraged bull/bear funds in stocks, bonds, gold, and real estate using simple trend and overbought/oversold signals, with a small cash anchor.
Five buckets (42/26/16/10/6%) in stocks, bonds, gold, real estate, cash. It watches trends (price vs 50/200‑day averages) and a “heat gauge” called RSI (high=overheated, low=sold‑off). In uptrends it holds bull funds; when overheated or weak it shifts to hedges or bear funds, or Treasuries/cash.
Tickers: TQQQ/SQQQ=3x Nasdaq; UPRO/SPXL=3x S&P 500; TMF/TMV=3x long/short 20‑yr Treasuries; UGL/GLL=2x long/short gold; DRN/DRV=3x long/short REITs; EDC/EDZ=3x long/short emerging markets; UVXY=volatility; BIL=T‑bills. Rebalanced daily.
Out-of-sample annualized return 46.8% vs S&P 30.8%, with Calmar ~2.0 and Sharpe ~1.41. A diversified, trend-driven, multi-asset strategy (beta ~0.92) seeks stronger, risk-adjusted growth than the S&P, though occasional larger drawdowns can occur.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.66 | 0.79 | 0.23 | 0.48 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 693.37% | 15.63% | 2.19% | 5.01% | 0.95 | |
| 4,349,724.21% | 111.51% | 5.52% | 14.73% | 2.86 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$434,982,421.44Regulatory Fees
$710,098.28
Total Slippage
$5,042,130.98
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 12, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical multi-asset, golden-ratio weights, leveraged etfs, trend-following, mean reversion, risk-on/risk-off, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 24 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
DRN
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
DRV
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares
Stocks
EDC
Direxion Daily Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares, Shares of beneficial interest, no par value
Stocks
EDZ
Direxion Daily Emerging Markets Bear 3x Shares
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
GLL
ProShares UltraShort Gold
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IGIB
iShares Trust iShares 5-10 Year Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF
Stocks
IVV
iShares Core S&P 500 ETF
Stocks