The Golden Ratio Front Runnered
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A fast, daily, rules-based strategy that tries to front‑run pullbacks: hedge with VIX funds when stocks look overheated, ride or short tech trends using leveraged ETFs, use KMLM as a regime switch, and add Treasuries and gold for ballast. Very high risk.
- It uses a short-term “heat meter” (RSI: 0–100) on big stock indexes. High readings mean prices ran up fast; low = sold off.
- If stocks look overheated, it buys “fear” funds tied to the VIX (UVXY/VIXY/VXX) that usually jump when markets fall. If fear already spiked, it may cautiously short volatility (SVXY/SVIX) with safety checks.
- If things are calm or oversold, it rotates into aggressive growth (leveraged tech/semis like TQQQ/TECL/SOXL) or flips to the short side (PSQ/SQQQ) when trends turn down.
- KMLM (a managed‑futures ETF) acts like a macro weather vane: weak KMLM → lean risk-on; strong KMLM → get defensive or short, sometimes hold KMLM itself.
- It mixes in Treasuries (TLT/TMF/TMV), gold/silver/commodities (GLD/SLV/DBC), and defensive equity funds (BTAL, USMV, XLP, utilities) as ballast.
- It often picks the recent winners/losers over 10–15 days to size positions.
- Rebalanced daily; very active and high risk due to leveraged/inverse ETFs and VIX products.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~55.6% vs SPY ~26.8%, Calmar ~2.73. This volatility-aware, multi-asset strategy hedges pullbacks and captures tech rallies with futures, bonds, and gold. Drawdowns can be higher (around 20%).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.38 | 0.28 | 0.02 | 0.15 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54.12% | 11.59% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.71 | |
| 20,703.1% | 286.99% | -2.9% | 5.68% | 4.2 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,080,310.36Regulatory Fees
$6,070.81
Total Slippage
$38,314.79
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 22, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, volatility timing, trend-following, leveraged/inverse etfs, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 68 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
CORP
PIMCO Investment Grade Corporate Bond Index Exchange-Traded Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DRV
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
DXD
ProShares UltraShort Dow 30
Stocks
EDC
Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
EDZ
Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bear 3X ETF
Stocks