The Enigma of the Financial Universe 1.1
Today’s Change (Mar 30, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Rules-based, daily risk-on/risk-off strategy. Uses bond and volatility signals to hold SPY, move to short‑term Treasuries, or shift into an equal‑weighted basket of defensive/hedge ETFs (including inverse/leveraged) during stress.
Daily it makes a simple risk call.
Bond stress? If a fund that rises when long‑term Treasury prices fall (TTT) looks stronger than short‑term junk bonds (SHYG), it goes defensive and splits equally across a basket of hedges.
Otherwise it checks volatility: if the last 30 days are choppier than the past year, it parks in short‑term Treasuries (SHY); if the spike is extreme, it rotates into low‑vol defensive/short funds.
If volatility is normal, it holds the S&P 500 (SPY) unless bonds have been weak lately, then it uses SHY. Equal weights; daily rebalance.
Out-of-sample: ~9.48% annualized return, max drawdown ~10%, Calmar ~0.95, and a small negative beta vs SPY. Delivers stronger downside protection and defensive diversification in stress, with a disciplined rules-based process.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.19 | 0.15 | 0.05 | 0.23 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 267.83% | 12.28% | -7.68% | -7.76% | 0.74 | |
| 914.89% | 22.89% | 1.41% | 1.31% | 1.83 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$101,488.59Regulatory Fees
$362.57
Total Slippage
$2,269.80
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 25, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, risk-on/risk-off, volatility targeting, momentum & mean-reversion, multi-asset, defensive hedging, leveraged/inverse etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 25 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
HDGE
AdvisorShares Ranger Equity Bear ETF
Stocks
PDBC
Invesco Actively Managed Exch-Traded Commodity Fd Tr Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF
Stocks
SDS
ProShares UltraShort S&P500
Stocks
SDY
State Street SPDR S&P Dividend ETF
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks