The Adaptive Dragon V1.0.1a
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A complex, regime-aware, multi-asset portfolio that blends growth-oriented exposures with defensive hedges. It dynamically shifts among stocks, bonds, commodities, real estate, gold, currencies, and volatility instruments using momentum, risk controls, and regime signals. It aims for upside in strong markets while protecting against drawdowns with hedges and defensive allocations.
- The system starts by evaluating market regime cues using a broad set of inputs (momentum, volatility signals, drawdown checks, and price trends) to decide which macro bucket to emphasize.
- It then selects assets from each bucket (for example, Equities, Bonds, Commodities & Real Estate, and various hedging or leverage modules) using rules that favor assets with stronger recent performance, lower risk metrics, or favorable trend signals. These selections are then allocated using weights that sum to 100% for the overall portfolio.
- Some modules focus on defensive positioning (Crash Protection, Rising/Falling Rates defensives, Safe-haven assets like Gold or USD proxies). Others pursue growth in “risk-on” environments (3x leveraged equity proxies, trend/momentum baskets across international markets).
- Volatility hedges (e.g., UVXY and other volatility instruments) are employed to dampen losses in stressed markets. Gold and USD-sensitive assets are used to diversify risk and provide inflation/FX hedges.
- A number of sub-strategies (e.g., “Sandy’s Golden Dragon,” “Garen’s Advanced Volatility Hedge,” “Protected Leverage”) are layered on top to provide additional volatility hedging and leverage-aware exposure, while various trend/momentum baskets drive directional bets in equities and commodities.
- Rebalancing occurs through the internal weighting logic rather than a fixed schedule; the framework continuously recalibrates asset selections and weights as market conditions evolve. Risk management rules such as drawdown checks, relative performance thresholds, and moving-average comparisons help prevent outsized losses and control tail risk.
- The overall construction is intentionally broad and hierarchical: the top level distributes capital across major macro buckets; each bucket contains sub-groups with their own asset pools and rules; certain modules are designed for longer-term regime adaptation, while others seek to exploit shorter-term momentum moves. The net effect is a dynamic, diversified, hedged portfolio designed to navigate multiple market environments.
Stronger risk control in downturns: OOS max drawdown 15.6% vs 18.8% for the S&P; higher risk-adjusted stability (Calmar ~1.04). Accepts a modest upside trade-off (OOS return 16.25% vs 21.40%) for a smoother, diversified, hedge-friendly path.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.31 | 0.2 | 0.07 | 0.26 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 158.27% | 14.88% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.8 | |
| 873.29% | 39.46% | -0.13% | 2.43% | 2.25 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$97,328.65Regulatory Fees
$383.08
Total Slippage
$2,260.18
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 27, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 2%
Type
Stocks
Category
Multi-asset tactical allocation, regime-driven; volatility hedging; trend following; diversified etf universe; complex risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 83 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BOIL
ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
CCOR
Core Alternative Capital
Stocks
COM
Direxion Auspice Broad Commodity Strategy ETF
Stocks
DBA
Invesco DB Agriculture Fund
Stocks
DBB
Invesco DB Base Metals Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks