TESTPORT #259: KMLM/XLK RSI Tech QQQ Switcher IV 1.0
Today’s Change (Nov 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A high-risk market-timing strategy that either buys bullish tech funds, bearish tech funds, or moves to Treasury bills, based on long-term Nasdaq trend and short-term tech strength.
Each day, the strategy first checks whether the Nasdaq-100 fund QQQ is in a healthy long-term uptrend by seeing if its price is above its 200-day average.
If not, it moves everything into BIL, a very short-term Treasury-bill fund.
If yes, it compares recent strength in tech (XLK) versus KMLM, a trend-following fund used as a market “stress gauge.” If tech looks stronger, it buys 2 bullish leveraged tech funds. If not, it buys 2 bearish leveraged tech funds. In either case, it picks the 2 that have cooled off the most recently.
Dynamic, regime-based tech strategy that rides uptrends and shifts to cash when tech weakens, offering diversification and potential upside in tech rallies beyond the S&P 500, though out-of-sample performance shows higher volatility and drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.81 | 0.02 | 0 | 0.01 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 124.61% | 14.79% | -1.04% | -0.34% | 0.92 | |
| 3,004.15% | 79.63% | -16.46% | -31.61% | 1.22 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$310,414.85Regulatory Fees
$1,011.90
Total Slippage
$8,425.27
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 26, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, leveraged etfs, technology sector, trend following, mean reversion, long/short, risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TECS
Direxion Daily Technology Bear 3x ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
XLK
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks