TESTPORT #259: KMLM/XLK RSI Tech QQQ Switcher IV 1.0
Today’s Change (Feb 22, 2026)
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About
A daily, tech‑focused timing strategy. If the Nasdaq is weak, it sits in T‑bills. If strong, it compares tech’s short‑term “heat” vs managed futures; then buys 2 leveraged bull or bear tech funds with the biggest recent dip (lowest RSI).
1) Check the trend: If QQQ (Nasdaq‑100) is below its 200‑day average, hold BIL (T‑bills).
2) If above, compare 10‑day RSI of XLK (tech) vs KMLM (managed‑futures trend fund). RSI is a 0–100 recent‑speed score: high=rising fast, low=fallen.
3) If XLK>KMLM, buy 2 of TQQQ/TECL/SOXL (3x bull) with the lowest RSI; else buy 2 of SQQQ/TECS/SOXS (3x bear). Equal‑weight; checked daily.
Regime-filtered tech strategy shifts between leveraged bets and cash. It aims to diversify SPY and capture tech cycles when conditions favor, while avoiding Nasdaq downturns. Caution: OOS shows negative annualized return and larger drawdowns than SPY.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.82 | -0.02 | 0 | -0.01 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100.37% | 14.42% | 1.75% | 5.97% | 0.88 | |
| 2,541.15% | 88.63% | -4.16% | -28.11% | 1.35 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$264,114.62Regulatory Fees
$993.01
Total Slippage
$5,716.49
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 26, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, tactical timing, tech sector, leveraged etfs, momentum (rsi), regime filter, inverse etfs, cash/t-bills
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X Shares
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TECS
Direxion Daily Technology Bear 3x Shares
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
XLK
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks