[TEST] Simons KMLM switcher (single pops)| A.R. 466% / D.D. 22% V2 Since 2022 (market inverse) | 100 bp bt - 2,858.19 value on 8/26/25
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A very aggressive market-timing strategy that usually either bets against big tech when markets look overheated, or buys leveraged tech/stock funds after sharp pullbacks.
This strategy constantly asks two questions:
1) Does the market look too overheated? If yes, it buys SQQQ, which is a strong bet that big tech will fall.
2) If not, does a risky area like tech, chips, energy, or the S&P 500 look beaten down and ready to bounce? If yes, it buys a very aggressive fund tied to that area.
If signals are mixed, it compares tech to KMLM, a crisis-friendly trend-following fund, and becomes more defensive if KMLM looks stronger.
An aggressive, rules-based market-timing overlay that hedges overheated tech and seeks rebounds in beaten sectors. The out-of-sample period shows higher risk and negative returns vs. the S&P—use as a crisis-ready tactical sleeve, not core exposure.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.82 | 0.67 | 0.03 | 0.17 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77.88% | 12.71% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.78 | |
| 318,417.13% | 434.29% | -0.11% | 15.35% | 2.81 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$31,851,713.29Regulatory Fees
$54,142.66
Total Slippage
$504,107.00
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 29, 2026
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, market timing, leveraged etfs, inverse etf, tech sector, mean reversion, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 17 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
USD
ProShares Ultra Semiconductors
Stocks