Test: BDRY signal
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Uses shipping-cost trends (BDRY) to set risk regime and a short-term S&P 500 heat check to pick between a 3× S&P 500 fund (SPXL) and T‑Bills (BIL). Risk‑on: SPXL unless overheated. Risk‑off: BIL unless deeply oversold.
RSI is a 0–100 score of recent ups vs downs; >50 means upward pressure, >80 very hot, <30 washed out.
1) Check 60‑day RSI of BDRY (an ETF tied to dry‑bulk shipping costs). If >50, we’re risk‑on; otherwise risk‑off. BDRY is a signal only—it’s not owned.
2) Risk‑on: check 10‑day RSI of SPY (S&P 500). If >80, hold BIL (T‑Bills). Else buy SPXL (a 3× S&P 500 fund).
3) Risk‑off: hold BIL unless SPY RSI <30, then buy SPXL.
Always 100% in one fund; trades only when signals flip.
Higher upside: oos annualized return ~32.5% vs SPY ~18.4%, with Calmar ~1.45. A macro shipping signal plus SPY RSI guides an all-in SPXL or BIL approach, delivering bigger gains while tolerating higher drawdowns than the S&P.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.38 | 1.04 | 0.35 | 0.59 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 189.29% | 14.56% | 6.16% | 5.09% | 0.8 | |
| 4,194.32% | 61.8% | 17.36% | 11.34% | 1.58 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$429,431.69Regulatory Fees
$482.92
Total Slippage
$3,248.98
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 14, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, risk-on/risk-off, momentum, mean reversion, macro shipping signal, leveraged etf, s&p 500, t-bills