Test: BDRY signal
Today’s Change (Aug 6, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Uses shipping-cost trends (BDRY) to set risk regime and a short-term S&P 500 heat check to pick between a 3× S&P 500 fund (SPXL) and T‑Bills (BIL). Risk‑on: SPXL unless overheated. Risk‑off: BIL unless deeply oversold.
RSI is a 0–100 score of recent ups vs downs; >50 means upward pressure, >80 very hot, <30 washed out.
1) Check 60‑day RSI of BDRY (an ETF tied to dry‑bulk shipping costs). If >50, we’re risk‑on; otherwise risk‑off. BDRY is a signal only—it’s not owned.
2) Risk‑on: check 10‑day RSI of SPY (S&P 500). If >80, hold BIL (T‑Bills). Else buy SPXL (a 3× S&P 500 fund).
3) Risk‑off: hold BIL unless SPY RSI <30, then buy SPXL.
Always 100% in one fund; trades only when signals flip.
Out-of-sample, this regime-switch strategy targets ~42% annualized return vs ~20% for the S&P, with Calmar ~1.58, via a simple all-in SPXL vs BIL rule driven by shipping signals. Higher drawdown risk in weak markets, but upside is stronger.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.38 | 1.08 | 0.36 | 0.6 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 214.39% | 15.17% | 2.46% | 6.63% | 0.83 | |
| 5,417.84% | 63.96% | 6.18% | 21.17% | 1.61 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$551,784.15Regulatory Fees
$400.13
Total Slippage
$3,537.82
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 14, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, risk-on/risk-off, momentum, mean reversion, macro shipping signal, leveraged etf, s&p 500, t-bills