Test: BDRY signal
Today’s Change (Jun 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Uses shipping-cost trends (BDRY) to set risk regime and a short-term S&P 500 heat check to pick between a 3× S&P 500 fund (SPXL) and T‑Bills (BIL). Risk‑on: SPXL unless overheated. Risk‑off: BIL unless deeply oversold.
RSI is a 0–100 score of recent ups vs downs; >50 means upward pressure, >80 very hot, <30 washed out.
1) Check 60‑day RSI of BDRY (an ETF tied to dry‑bulk shipping costs). If >50, we’re risk‑on; otherwise risk‑off. BDRY is a signal only—it’s not owned.
2) Risk‑on: check 10‑day RSI of SPY (S&P 500). If >80, hold BIL (T‑Bills). Else buy SPXL (a 3× S&P 500 fund).
3) Risk‑off: hold BIL unless SPY RSI <30, then buy SPXL.
Always 100% in one fund; trades only when signals flip.
High upside with risk discipline: out-of-sample annualized return ~40% vs ~19% for the S&P, Calmar ~1.50, and solid risk-adjusted metrics. It toggles SPXL vs BIL on shipping momentum and SPY momentum; drawdowns can exceed the S&P.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.38 | 1.06 | 0.36 | 0.6 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 204.98% | 14.99% | 1.36% | 13.5% | 0.82 | |
| 5,026.72% | 63.74% | 2.54% | 46.07% | 1.61 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$512,671.58Regulatory Fees
$400.02
Total Slippage
$3,537.82
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 14, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, risk-on/risk-off, momentum, mean reversion, macro shipping signal, leveraged etf, s&p 500, t-bills