Test: 2d SVXY Crash (same as SVIX until Feb 28, 2018
Today’s Change (Sep 9, 2026)
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About
All-in SVXY for calm markets, but if SVXY falls more than 20% over two days, move to BIL (cash‑like T‑bills) until things settle. A simple, daily-checked circuit breaker for a risky volatility ETF; not tied to any stock sector.
It’s a simple crash guard for a very risky ETF.
- SVXY: an ETF that benefits when market “fear” (VIX futures) falls, but can crash in panics.
- BIL: a cash‑like fund of 1–3 month U.S. Treasury bills.
Each day, if SVXY has fallen more than 20% over the last 2 trading days, the strategy holds BIL. Otherwise it holds SVXY. It switches back once the 2‑day drop is no longer worse than −20%.
A crash-guard strategy: switch SVXY to cash-like BIL on large volatility spikes, then back when calm. Out-of-sample: 12.8% annualized return, Sharpe 0.52, offering diversification and a crisis hedge for an S&P 500-heavy portfolio.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.71 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 751.73% | 15.48% | -0.91% | 3.88% | 0.95 | |
| 3,499.47% | 27.22% | 5.92% | 15.95% | 0.74 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$359,946.60Regulatory Fees
$36.50
Total Slippage
$302.23
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 14, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Volatility, tactical etf rotation, crash-protection, short vix futures, rules-based, all-in/all-out, treasury bills, high risk