TECL For The Long Term (Reddit) | Less VIX | KMLM signal boost
Today’s Change (Jul 11, 2026)
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About
Daily tactical plan using trend and a short‑term “heat” gauge. In uptrends it buys 3x tech or short‑vol unless overheated, then holds mostly T‑Bills with a small UVXY hedge. In downtrends it buys dips or rotates among SQQQ, TLT, or TQQQ. Very risky.
Tickers: TECL/TQQQ/UPRO=3x bull Tech/Nasdaq/S&P; SQQQ=3x inverse Nasdaq; SVIX/UVXY=short/long VIX; BIL=T‑bills; TLT=long Treas.; XLK=Tech sector; KMLM=managed‑futures. RSI=0–100 heat gauge.
If SPY>200‑day avg: if “too hot” (TQQQ>79 or SPY>80) do 75% BIL+25% UVXY; else if XLK stronger than KMLM buy the lower‑RSI of TECL or SVIX; else BIL.
If SPY≤200‑day: if very oversold split TECL/BIL or UPRO/BIL; else if TQQQ<20‑day pick stronger of SQQQ or TLT; otherwise SQQQ if oversold, else TQQQ. Rebalanced daily; very risky.
Dynamic, rules-based strategy with tech leadership, volatility hedges, and macro signals. OOS: ~13.8% annualized return, 25.5% max drawdown, Calmar 0.54, Sharpe ~0.52 over 428 days—diversifies risk and adds downside discipline vs. the S&P.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.01 | 0.43 | 0.02 | 0.13 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80.43% | 15.02% | 4.34% | 11.4% | 0.89 | |
| 4,425.91% | 146.89% | -9.37% | -15.71% | 1.85 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$452,590.52Regulatory Fees
$1,555.57
Total Slippage
$12,655.54
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 21, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend/momentum timing, leveraged etfs, volatility timing, risk-on/off, daily tactical allocation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
SVIX
-1x Short VIX Futures ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks