Tech or Sector Momentum
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
When the Nasdaq’s short-term trend is above its long-term trend, hold the 3 hottest Big Tech stocks. Otherwise, rotate into the 3 strongest U.S. sectors via Vanguard ETFs. Rules-based, equal-weight, rebalanced monthly.
Each month, the plan asks: Is QQQ (a Nasdaq‑100 fund heavy in tech) trending up? It checks if the 5‑day average price is above the 200‑day average (short‑term vs long‑term). If yes, buy equal amounts of the 3 best performers over the last ~20 days from META, AMZN, AAPL, MSFT, GOOG, ADBE, NVDA, PPL. If not, buy equal amounts of the 3 Vanguard sector ETFs with the strongest ~200‑day returns (from Energy, Real Estate, Health Care, etc.).
Out-of-sample annualized return ~29% vs SPY ~22%. A disciplined two-mode, rules-based strategy: chase tech momentum (top 3 mega-cap winners) when Nasdaq leads, or rotate to the strongest sectors when it doesn’t. Monthly, equal-weighted.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.16 | 1.09 | 0.55 | 0.74 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 349.59% | 13.54% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.82 | |
| 2,816.46% | 32.98% | -7.3% | -14.49% | 1.25 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$291,646.40Regulatory Fees
$234.07
Total Slippage
$1,490.99
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 15, 2023
Trading Setting
Monthly
Type
Stocks
Category
Momentum, trend-following, sector rotation, tactical allocation, tech tilt, rules-based, monthly rebalance, u.s. equities, etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 20 assets in total
Ticker
Type