TAA All Weather - VUG vs. SPMO/GLDM/TYD/KMLM
Today’s Change (Nov 5, 2026)
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About
A monthly strategy that uses VUG’s trend as a traffic light, then shifts between U.S. momentum stocks, gold, Treasuries, and managed futures to balance growth and defense.
Once a month, the strategy looks at VUG (a fund of large U.S. growth stocks) as a market health gauge. If VUG is above its 3-, 6-, and 10-month average prices, it holds a mix of SPMO, gold, Treasuries, and KMLM. If VUG weakens, it shifts more toward gold, KMLM, or Treasuries. In short: stronger growth-stock trend = more stock exposure; weaker trend = more defense and diversification.
Out-of-sample results show negative returns and larger drawdowns vs the S&P 500, so it isn't a replacement for equity growth. Used as a diversification tool with gold, Treasuries, and managed futures, it can help dampen risk when stocks fall.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.11 | 0.43 | 0.29 | 0.54 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 126.67% | 14.87% | -1.04% | -0.34% | 0.92 | |
| 167.56% | 18.14% | -7.71% | -3.4% | 1.33 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$26,756.45Regulatory Fees
$8.87
Total Slippage
$56.60
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 15, 2026
Trading Setting
Monthly
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, trend following, all weather, momentum, gold, treasuries, managed futures, monthly rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 5 assets in total