SVIX/XXXX KMLM switcher (single pops)| BT 12/19/23 = 786/10.5
Today’s Change (Aug 23, 2026)
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About
A one‑position, event‑driven switcher that hunts short, sharp moves: buys UVXY on overbought markets to catch fear spikes, buys 3x equity bounces on oversold, and otherwise toggles between stock/short‑vol plays and diversifiers like KMLM, Treasuries, and the US dollar.
It watches short‑term RSI (a 0–100 “hot/cold” gauge) on many stock funds. If they look very hot, it buys UVXY (tends to jump when fear/VIX spikes). If fear is rising, it leans into volatility hedges. If areas look very cold, it buys 3x tech/semis/S&P for a bounce. If no setup, it compares stocks vs KMLM (a managed‑futures trend fund). If stocks lead, it picks SVIX (benefits when fear fades) or S&P; otherwise rotates into calmer KMLM/long‑short/Treasuries/US$.
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe ~1.75 vs S&P ~1.18; Calmar ~6.47; annualized return ≈165% vs ≈20% for the S&P. Higher upside with larger drawdowns (~25% vs ~19%), but a persistent alpha edge for disciplined investors.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.94 | 1.55 | 0.14 | 0.38 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66.13% | 21.03% | 2.33% | 3.36% | 1.3 | |
| 1,545.33% | 186.72% | 19.11% | 28.8% | 1.95 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$164,533.10Regulatory Fees
$444.59
Total Slippage
$3,321.52
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 29, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Volatility timing, rsi mean reversion, leveraged etfs, managed futures, tactical rotation, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 23 assets in total
Ticker
Type
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
FTLS
First Trust Long/Short Equity ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SPYU
MAX S&P 500 4x Leveraged ETN
Stocks
SVIX
-1x Short VIX Futures ETF
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks