SVIX/XXXX KMLM switcher (single pops)| BT 12/19/23 = 786/10.5
Today’s Change (Mar 13, 2026)
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About
A one‑holding switcher: buys UVXY when stocks look overheated, buys leveraged stock funds on deep dips, or—if no extremes—chooses risk‑on (S&P/short‑VIX) when SPY beats KMLM, or risk‑off (managed‑futures/hedges) when KMLM leads.
It holds one fund at a time and follows simple rules:
1) If several stock funds look “too hot” on a 10‑day score (RSI = a 0–100 speedometer; >~80), it buys UVXY, which jumps when fear spikes.
2) Else if volatility is already hot, it holds a milder vol fund (VIXM) or an S&P 500 bull fund.
3) Else if big leveraged tech/semis/S&P funds look “washed out” (RSI<30), it buys them for a bounce.
4) Else it compares SPY vs KMLM (a diversified trend‑following futures fund). If SPY is stronger, it picks an S&P bull or a “short VIX” fund (SVIX). If KMLM is stronger, it rotates into calmer hedges (Treasuries, volatility, long/short stocks, U.S. dollar), favoring the least jumpy.
Out-of-sample Sharpe ~1.79 vs SPY ~1.14; Calmar ~7.31; max drawdown ~25.44% vs ~18.76%; outsized annualized return ~186%—driven by volatility timing and tactical hedges to outperform the S&P across regimes.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.08 | 1.61 | 0.15 | 0.38 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.74% | 17.8% | -2.23% | -2.01% | 1.11 | |
| 1,149.13% | 212.78% | -2.85% | 10.58% | 2.03 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$124,912.76Regulatory Fees
$368.56
Total Slippage
$2,183.81
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 29, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, volatility timing, momentum, mean‑reversion, managed futures, leveraged etfs, risk‑on/risk‑off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 23 assets in total
Ticker
Type
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
FTLS
First Trust Long/Short Equity ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SPYU
MAX S&P 500 4x Leveraged ETN
Stocks
SVIX
-1x Short VIX Futures ETF
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks