Super Simple Symphony - Less Derivatives -
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily switch: if short‑term T‑Bills recently beat the S&P 500, hold a defensive mix (blue chips, dividends, utilities, T‑Bills, gold). Otherwise, go 50/50 into 3× S&P 500 and 3× Nasdaq‑100 for aggressive upside.
Each day it compares the past ~3 months’ total return of a cash‑like T‑Bill fund (BIL) to the S&P 500 (SPY). If T‑Bills did as well or better, it goes defensive: equal parts Dow stocks (DIA), dividend funds (VIG, VYM), utilities (VPU), T‑Bills (BIL), and gold (GLD). Otherwise it goes aggressive: 50/50 in 3× S&P 500 (UPRO) and 3× Nasdaq‑100 (TQQQ). Rebalances daily.
Out-of-sample: ~40.9% annualized return vs SPY ~21%, Calmar ~1.26, Sharpe ~1.10. Higher drawdowns (~32% vs ~19%), but aims much bigger upside via disciplined regime switching and 3x leverage during uptrends.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1 | 1.66 | 0.58 | 0.76 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 744.59% | 14.24% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.86 | |
| 7,759.57% | 31.3% | -3.17% | -9.17% | 0.92 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$785,957.39Regulatory Fees
$1,238.56
Total Slippage
$6,512.51
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 11, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, momentum filter, risk-on/risk-off, leveraged equities, multi-asset defensive, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
DIA
State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
VIG
Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF
Stocks
VPU
Vanguard Utilities ETF
Stocks
VYM
Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF
Stocks