Super Simple Symphony - Less Derivatives -
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rule-based strategy that toggles between a defensive 6-ETF mix (DIA, VIG, VYM, VPU, BIL, GLD) and a bullish 2-ETF leveraged play (UPRO, TQQQ) based on whether 60-day returns of BIL beat SPY. It rebalances to equal weights each day, using straightforward, non-derivative-heavy exposure.
- Every day, the strategy decides which group of ETFs to hold.
- It computes the 60-day cumulative return for BIL and for SPY. If BIL’s 60-day return is greater than or equal to SPY’s 60-day return, it treats the market as risk-off and buys a defensive mix: DIA, VIG, VYM, VPU, BIL, and GLD, allocating equal money to each.
- If SPY’s 60-day return is higher, it treats the market as risk-on and buys two leveraged growth ETFs: UPRO (3x S&P 500) and TQQQ (3x Nasdaq 100), allocating equal money to each.
- Rebalancing occurs daily, so the positions are reset to equal weights within the chosen group each day.
- No ETFs outside these two groups are used unless you extend the rules; the strategy aims to keep holdings simple and transparent.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~41% vs SPY ~21%; Calmar ~1.26. A daily, rule-based switch between defensive assets and leveraged growth captures upside in rallies with disciplined risk management for growth-focused investors.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1 | 1.66 | 0.58 | 0.76 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 726.91% | 14.06% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.85 | |
| 7,602.11% | 31.05% | -2.72% | -2.67% | 0.91 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$770,211.31Regulatory Fees
$1,239.08
Total Slippage
$6,515.39
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 11, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Rule-based, risk-on/risk-off, etf-based, basic trend-following, limited derivatives
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
DIA
State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
VIG
Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF
Stocks
VPU
Vanguard Utilities ETF
Stocks
VYM
Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF
Stocks