Super Semiconductors | Dereck Nielsen
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Tactical semiconductor strategy. In uptrends, rotate into the strongest chip names; in weak trends, hold SMH or partly bonds and buy dips (sometimes with 3× SOXL). In risk‑off markets, hedge or short; occasionally buy extreme dips.
Core: buy semiconductors (SMH) or the 3 strongest chip stocks. First check market health: if SPY’s 8‑day average is above its 200‑day average, be risk‑on; else risk‑off. Uses RSI (hot/cold), MACD (fast vs slow trend), and the 25‑day average to buy dips (sometimes with SOXL 3×), split with bonds (SHY), or hedge/short (UVXY/VIXY, SOXS, SSG) when prices look overheated.
Unleash higher upside in semis: out-of-sample annualized return ~39.6% vs S&P ~20.4%, aided by tactical risk-on/off and dip-buy timing. Expect larger drawdowns (~42% vs ~19%), but potential for outsized, cycle-driven growth.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.69 | 0.77 | 0.07 | 0.27 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 551.57% | 14.21% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.88 | |
| 1,781,683.35% | 100.18% | -6.93% | 41.53% | 1.69 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$178,178,334.84Regulatory Fees
$620,745.15
Total Slippage
$4,431,659.60
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 27, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Semiconductors, tactical trend-following, momentum, buy the dip, risk-on/off filter, leveraged etfs, bonds/defensive hedges
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 32 assets in total
Ticker
Type
ADI
Analog Devices, Inc.
Stocks
AMAT
Applied Materials Inc
Stocks
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
Stocks
ASML
ASML Holding NV
Stocks
AVGO
Broadcom Inc. Common Stock
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
INTC
Intel Corp
Stocks
KLAC
KLA Corporation Common Stock
Stocks
LRCX
Lam Research Corp
Stocks
MCHP
Microchip Technology Inc
Stocks