Super Semiconductors | Dereck Nielsen
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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About
A tactical semiconductor strategy that chases the strongest chip stocks in good markets, shifts partly to safer assets in choppy periods, and sometimes uses leveraged bullish or bearish funds when signals get extreme.
This strategy is a market-timing system focused on semiconductor stocks.
It first checks if the overall U.S. stock market looks healthy using SPY. If yes, it usually buys either the strongest large chip stocks or a semiconductor fund. If the sector looks shaky, it may put part of the money into bonds or defensive assets.
When conditions look weak, it can become aggressive: buying semiconductor dips, or even betting against the sector with inverse funds.
Out-of-sample, this semiconductor timing strategy delivers ~74% annualized return, ~1.23 Sharpe, and Calmar 1.75—outpacing SPY’s ~19%—by blending market timing with selective leverage. Note: higher drawdowns (~42%) possible.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.72 | 0.81 | 0.08 | 0.28 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 656.82% | 14.76% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.92 | |
| 4,823,275.51% | 108.23% | -1.66% | 20.44% | 1.75 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$482,337,551.21Regulatory Fees
$761,559.64
Total Slippage
$7,304,159.17
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 27, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Semiconductors, sector rotation, momentum, trend following, buy-the-dip, defensive rotation, leveraged/inverse etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 32 assets in total
Ticker
Type
ADI
Analog Devices, Inc.
Stocks
AMAT
Applied Materials Inc
Stocks
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
Stocks
ASML
ASML Holding NV
Stocks
AVGO
Broadcom Inc. Common Stock
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
INTC
Intel Corp
Stocks
KLAC
KLA Corporation Common Stock
Stocks
LRCX
Lam Research Corp
Stocks
MCHP
Microchip Technology Inc
Stocks