Super Semiconductors | Dereck Nielsen
Today’s Change (Oct 8, 2026)
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About
Tactical semiconductor strategy. In uptrends, rotate into the strongest chip names; in weak trends, hold SMH or partly bonds and buy dips (sometimes with 3× SOXL). In risk‑off markets, hedge or short; occasionally buy extreme dips.
Core: buy semiconductors (SMH) or the 3 strongest chip stocks. First check market health: if SPY’s 8‑day average is above its 200‑day average, be risk‑on; else risk‑off. Uses RSI (hot/cold), MACD (fast vs slow trend), and the 25‑day average to buy dips (sometimes with SOXL 3×), split with bonds (SHY), or hedge/short (UVXY/VIXY, SOXS, SSG) when prices look overheated.
Out-of-sample edge: ~83% annualized return vs ~20% S&P; Sharpe ~1.32 vs ~1.28; Calmar ~1.96. Semiconductors-led, regime-aware rotations aim for stronger upside with risk controls; note larger downturns (~42% vs ~19%).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.73 | 0.8 | 0.08 | 0.27 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 660.86% | 14.84% | 1.72% | 4.21% | 0.92 | |
| 5,220,992.95% | 109.77% | 12.25% | 22.02% | 1.76 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$522,109,294.93Regulatory Fees
$710,113.32
Total Slippage
$6,806,225.63
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 27, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Semiconductors, tactical trend-following, momentum, buy the dip, risk-on/off filter, leveraged etfs, bonds/defensive hedges
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 32 assets in total
Ticker
Type