Super Semiconductors | Dereck Nielsen
Today’s Change (Nov 6, 2026)
—
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About
A tactical semiconductor strategy that chases the strongest chip stocks in good markets, shifts partly to safer assets in choppy periods, and sometimes uses leveraged bullish or bearish funds when signals get extreme.
This strategy is a market-timing system focused on semiconductor stocks.
It first checks if the overall U.S. stock market looks healthy using SPY. If yes, it usually buys either the strongest large chip stocks or a semiconductor fund. If the sector looks shaky, it may put part of the money into bonds or defensive assets.
When conditions look weak, it can become aggressive: buying semiconductor dips, or even betting against the sector with inverse funds.
Out-of-sample edge: ~68% annualized return vs ~17% for the S&P, Sharpe ~1.16, Calmar ~1.60. By rotating into strong semis in good markets and hedging in choppy ones, it aims for higher growth with disciplined risk versus SPY.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.71 | 0.82 | 0.08 | 0.28 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 617.57% | 14.3% | -5.4% | -4.54% | 0.89 | |
| 4,128,553.5% | 105.6% | -18.52% | -9.38% | 1.72 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$412,865,349.77Regulatory Fees
$789,802.29
Total Slippage
$7,577,339.05
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 27, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Semiconductors, sector rotation, momentum, trend following, buy-the-dip, defensive rotation, leveraged/inverse etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 32 assets in total
Ticker
Type
ADI
Analog Devices Inc.
Stocks
AMAT
Applied Materials Inc.
Stocks
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices Inc.
Stocks
ASML
ASML Holding NV - New York Shares
Stocks
AVGO
Broadcom Inc
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Bond Index Funds - Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
INTC
Intel Corp.
Stocks
KLAC
KLA Corp.
Stocks
LRCX
Lam Research Corp.
Stocks
MCHP
Microchip Technology, Inc.
Stocks