Stock Market + Energy + Commodities by Dereck Nielsen
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rule-driven blend of stocks, energy, and commodities that rides uptrends (sometimes with leverage) and steps aside or hedges in downtrends, aiming to beat the S&P 500 while limiting big drawdowns.
It’s a rules-based mix of three sleeves: US stocks, energy (oil, natural gas, clean energy), and broad commodities. It buys what’s rising (price trending up) and avoids what’s falling by rotating to cash-like T‑bills or Treasuries—or even hedges that rise when markets drop. In strong uptrends it may use 2x–3x funds; when weak, it can hedge or short. Stocks favor QQQ or top S&P names when the market is healthy.
Out-of-sample strategy blends stocks, energy & commodities with trend-following and hedges. It delivers stronger risk-adjusted performance (Sharpe 1.41, Calmar 2.81) and regime-aware downside protection, aiming to beat SPY on a risk-adjusted basis.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -0 | 0.97 | 0.65 | 0.81 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.77% | 31.92% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 1.6 | |
| 26.85% | 29.77% | 2.18% | 5.05% | 1.29 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$12,685.30Regulatory Fees
$2.60
Total Slippage
$16.77
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 30, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 7%
Type
Stocks
Category
Multi-asset tactical allocation, trend-following momentum, energy/oil/natural gas, commodities, us large-cap/qqq tilt, crash protection, leveraged/inverse etfs, treasuries/cash
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 48 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AAPL
Apple Inc.
Stocks
AMZN
Amazon.Com Inc
Stocks
APH
Amphenol Corporation
Stocks
BOIL
ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
COP
ConocoPhillips
Stocks
CVE
Cenovus Energy Inc.
Stocks
CVX
Chevron Corporation
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DBO
Invesco DB Oil Fund
Stocks