Stock Market Basic Strategy
Today’s Change (Mar 6, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules-based, risk-on/risk-off plan: above the market’s 200‑day trend it owns QQQ+SPY; in downtrends it tries oversold bounces, otherwise rotates to short Treasuries or short QQQ, and may default back to QQQ if conditions improve.
First, it checks if SPY is above its 200‑day average price (a long‑term trend). If yes, it splits between QQQ (Nasdaq‑100, big tech) and SPY (S&P 500). If not, it hunts for “oversold” bounces using RSI (0–100; under 30 = oversold). If no bounce: if QQQ is below its 20‑day average, it picks the stronger of SHY (1–3yr Treasuries) or PSQ (inverse QQQ; rises when QQQ falls). Otherwise hold QQQ unless PSQ is very oversold, then hold PSQ.
Dynamic risk-on/risk-off strategy targets ~25% annualized out-of-sample returns with strong risk-adjusted metrics (Calmar ~1.27) and regime-aware hedges (PSQ/SHY), offering higher upside and balanced downside vs. the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.18 | 0.55 | 0.33 | 0.58 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 668.02% | 10.94% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.63 | |
| 9,165.19% | 25.95% | 1.27% | -1.46% | 1.32 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$926,518.57Regulatory Fees
$1,246.92
Total Slippage
$8,422.27
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 30, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, trend following, momentum, mean reversion, risk-on/risk-off, rsi, moving averages, us equities, treasuries, inverse etf