Steph combo 1
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A rule-based, multi-asset system that alternates between 3x leveraged stock bets (like TQQQ, SOXL, TECL, SPXL, UPRO) and volatility/treasury hedges (VXX, SQQQ, UVXY, TMF/TMV, SHY) using trend and momentum signals. It picks one strong asset at a time, hedges on risk, and aims to ride uptrends while protecting against volatility spikes.
- The plan splits into two broad themes: Core leveraged equity bets and Defense hedges.
- Core bets use three-times leveraged funds to play uptrends in big market themes (tech, semis, broad indices). They are selected using momentum and trend signals across price and moving averages, then one asset is chosen to own fully (weight 100/100).
- Defense hedges kick in when signals indicate rising risk or deteriorating trends. Hedges include volatility-related products (VXX, UVXY, SQQQ) and treasury bear/longs (TMF, TMV, TLT) plus select safe bonds (SHY, AGG) to reduce drawdowns.
- Signals come from several tools: price vs moving averages (is price above/below its 200- or 360-day MA?), exponential moving-average crossovers, and RSI (a momentum/overbought-oversold gauge) over different lookbacks. Assets are ranked (top/bottom) by metrics like moving-average return, cumulative return, or standard deviation, then the top-ranked asset is bought.
- Some blocks tilt toward cash-equal baskets or diversify into a small group of assets only when certain criteria are met, but most of the time the rule set results in a single asset being held at full exposure for a period.
- The system includes named “defense” scenarios (e.g., A.A.A, B.A.B, etc.) that describe conditions like “long-term Treasuries trending up” or “risk-off with rising rates,” and specify how to structure 3x leveraged treasury bets or other hedges under those conditions.
- There’s an emphasis on avoiding churn (no constant rebalancing) while still reacting to clear trend or momentum shifts; a corridor-like width (0.06) and a no-rebalance setting suggest signals are evaluated within a tolerance band.
- The portfolio thus toggles between aggressive upside bets and protective hedges, using a single-asset-at-a-time approach to keep allocations simple, but with a broad arsenal of assets to draw from when signals justify it.
High-upside, risk-managed growth: OOS annualized return ~54.7% vs S&P ~20.6%, Calmar ~1.24, with trend-based hedges designed to ride uptrends while shielding against volatility.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.23 | 2.3 | 0.78 | 0.88 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70.68% | 16.09% | -2.02% | -1.16% | 0.99 | |
| 530.72% | 67.19% | -2.48% | -2% | 1.41 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$63,071.79Regulatory Fees
$119.01
Total Slippage
$726.24
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 30, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 6%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged equity, risk-on/risk-off rotation, volatility hedges, multi-asset momentum, tactical asset-allocation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 40 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
CURE
Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DIG
ProShares Ultra Energy
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
EFA
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
Stocks
EPI
WisdomTree India Earnings Fund ETF
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
EWZ
iShares MSCI Brazil ETF
Stocks