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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A tactical, rules‑based plan: fade short‑term overheating with UVXY/SOXS, otherwise follow the 200‑day trend. In uptrends it mostly holds ~1.5× Nasdaq‑100 (QQQ+QLD); in downtrends it parks in T‑Bills (BIL). KMLM helps choose bull vs bear semiconductors.
First it checks for very hot short‑term readings in major indexes/sectors. If found, it hedges by buying funds that jump when stocks fall (UVXY) or by betting against semiconductors (SOXS). If no warning, it checks the long‑term trend (price vs 200‑day avg). Above it, it mostly holds ~1.5× Nasdaq‑100 (QQQ+QLD), but may rotate into SOXL (semis bull) or briefly hedge via SQQQ. Below it, it parks in T‑Bills (BIL). KMLM (a managed‑futures trend fund) guides SOXL vs SOXS.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~30% vs SPY ~18.5%, driven by a Nasdaq tilt (~1.5x) plus tactical hedges (UVXY/SOXS) and trend-following risk-off. Higher upside, but be prepared for larger drawdowns in sharp reversals.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.83 | 1.1 | 0.06 | 0.24 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98.01% | 14.06% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.86 | |
| 662,498.09% | 444.05% | -3.27% | 29.49% | 2.6 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$66,259,808.89Regulatory Fees
$227,990.33
Total Slippage
$1,621,867.49
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 13, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend following, mean reversion, leveraged etfs, volatility hedge, sector rotation, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 15 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X Shares
Stocks
SOXX
iShares Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks