SPY S&P500 Avoid All Market Crashes
Today’s Change (Mar 6, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Rules-based crash-avoidance: hold SPY only in strong uptrends; otherwise rotate to Treasuries/defensive stocks. In deep selloffs, actively hedge or short the Nasdaq and occasionally buy quick tech/semis rebounds. Aims to sidestep major drawdowns.
Own SPY (S&P 500) only when its long‑term trend is clearly up (price and fast/slow averages all aligned). If that weakens, buy tech (XLK) only when the Nasdaq (QQQ) looks very washed out; otherwise sit in 3–7yr Treasuries (IEI). In full bears, split into IEI, consumer staples (XLP), and a crash module that flips between shorting the Nasdaq (PSQ/QID), holding bonds (guided by TLT), or briefly buying QQQ/semiconductors (SMH or leveraged QLD/USD) on rebounds using short‑term (20‑day) trend and an oversold/overbought gauge (RSI). Legend: SPY=S&P500; XLK=tech; QQQ=Nasdaq‑100; IEI=3–7y Treas.; XLP=staples; TLT=20+y Treas.; PSQ/QID=short Nasdaq; QLD=2x Nasdaq; SMH/USD=semis; RSI=oversold/overbought gauge.
Out-of-sample strategy beats SPY on risk-adjusted return and downside protection: Sharpe 1.76 vs 1.45, annualized return 28.7% vs 23.2%, max drawdown 10.2% vs 18.8%, and Calmar 2.82. Lower beta means steadier, more resilient growth.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.13 | 0.53 | 0.39 | 0.63 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 581.31% | 14.54% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.9 | |
| 1,636.66% | 22.39% | 0.54% | -0.35% | 1.52 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$173,665.74Regulatory Fees
$355.24
Total Slippage
$2,248.26
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 3, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 3%
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following,tactical allocation,crash protection,long/short us equities,treasuries,sector rotation,leveraged etfs,defensive rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 12 assets in total
Ticker
Type
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
USD
ProShares Ultra Semiconductors
Stocks