SPY S&P500 Avoid All Market Crashes
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Own SPY when the long-term trend is strong. If it softens, buy tech on deep dips or move to Treasuries. In bear markets, park mostly in T‑bills/Treasuries/Staples and use a small tactical sleeve to hedge or ride short tech/semiconductor rebounds.
1) If the S&P 500 (SPY) is in a clear uptrend (above key averages), own SPY. 2) If the trend weakens, only buy tech (XLK) on sharp dips in the Nasdaq (QQQ); otherwise hide in 3–7y Treasuries (IEI). 3) If SPY breaks down, hold mostly T‑bills (SHV), Treasuries (IEI) and Staples (XLP), plus a small tactical sleeve that can hedge (PSQ/QID) or play quick rebounds in QQQ/semis (SMH/QLD/USD).
Out-of-sample edge: 28.7% annualized return vs SPY 23.2%, much smaller drawdown (10.2% vs 18.8%), and better risk-adjusted metrics (Sharpe 1.76; Calmar 2.82). Higher upside with stronger downside protection.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.14 | 0.53 | 0.39 | 0.63 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 612.06% | 14.77% | 6.16% | 5.09% | 0.91 | |
| 1,763.85% | 22.79% | 8.9% | 7.91% | 1.54 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$186,384.87Regulatory Fees
$396.54
Total Slippage
$2,528.14
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 3, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 3%
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, crash protection, tactical etf allocation, us equities, treasuries, technology/semiconductors, inverse/leveraged etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 12 assets in total
Ticker
Type
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
USD
ProShares Ultra Semiconductors
Stocks