SPY S&P500 Avoid All Market Crashes
Today’s Change (Nov 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rule-based strategy that owns the S&P 500 in strong uptrends, but shifts into bonds, defensive stocks, or tactical tech/hedging positions when market conditions weaken.
This strategy first asks: “Is the U.S. stock market in a healthy uptrend?” It checks the S&P 500 using several smoothed price trends.
If yes, it simply owns SPY, which tracks the S&P 500.
If not, it gets defensive: it may buy Treasuries (IEI, SHV), consumer staples (XLP), or make tactical bets on tech/Nasdaq using funds that rise when tech rises—or even when it falls.
Adaptive, rule-based strategy that beats SPY out-of-sample: ~26% annual return vs ~21%, oos Sharpe ~1.67 vs 1.38, Calmar ~2.58, max drawdown ~10% vs ~19%. Higher risk-adjusted returns with stronger downside protection.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.13 | 0.53 | 0.4 | 0.63 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 672.84% | 14.82% | -1.04% | -0.34% | 0.92 | |
| 1,917.57% | 22.51% | -1.43% | -0.74% | 1.53 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$201,757.05Regulatory Fees
$330.82
Total Slippage
$2,651.10
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 3, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 3%
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, tactical asset allocation, crash protection, equities, treasuries, technology, inverse etfs, leveraged etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 12 assets in total
Ticker
Type
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
USD
ProShares Ultra Semiconductors
Stocks