SPY (S&P-500) Strength Catcher V2 Medium Risk, Medium Return
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Switches between U.S. stocks (SPY) and commodities (DBC). If stocks lead, it uses signals to pick UPRO (3x S&P), TQQQ (3x Nasdaq), or UVXY (volatility). Otherwise it holds DBC or the recent 60‑day winner among EFA/EEM/EWZ/TLT/SHY.
Daily check: Are U.S. stocks (SPY) beating commodities (DBC) over 1 year? If yes: if SPY is in an uptrend and looks overheated, use UVXY (volatility). Else, after a sharp 5‑day drop use UVXY on a big 1‑day rebound; otherwise buy UPRO (3x S&P). If no drop, buy the laggard of UPRO or TQQQ (3x Nasdaq). If commodities lead: hold DBC if trending up; else own the 60‑day winner among EFA (dev ex‑US), EEM (emerging), EWZ (Brazil), TLT (20+Y UST), or SHY (1–3Y UST).
Out-of-sample edge: 68.7% annualized return vs SPY's 18.6%; Sharpe 1.32 vs 1.12; Calmar ~1.26. Superior risk-adjusted gains across regimes versus the S&P 500; though drawdowns can reach ~54% in severe markets.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.58 | 1.73 | 0.25 | 0.5 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 681.5% | 15.36% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.94 | |
| 2,221,992.3% | 100.53% | 5.46% | -0.01% | 1.49 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$222,209,229.86Regulatory Fees
$549,890.95
Total Slippage
$3,929,366.23
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 12, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, trend/momentum, leveraged etfs, volatility, commodities, global equities, bonds, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
EFA
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
Stocks
EWZ
iShares MSCI Brazil ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks