SPY (S&P-500) Strength Catcher V2 Medium Risk, Medium Return
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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About
A rule-based strategy that shifts between US stocks, commodities, foreign markets, bonds, and a fear-based volatility fund depending on which area looks strongest or most unstable.
This strategy first asks: have US stocks (SPY) been doing better than commodities (DBC) over the long run?
If yes, it mostly tries to ride the stock market using turbocharged funds tied to the S&P 500 or Nasdaq. But if the market looks too overheated or unusually unstable, it may switch into UVXY, a fund that tends to jump when market fear rises.
If US stocks are not leading, it looks to commodities. If commodities are in a clear uptrend, it buys DBC. If not, it picks whichever has been strongest lately among foreign stocks, Brazil, or safer US Treasury bond funds.
Out-of-sample: ~60% annualized return, Sharpe ~1.26, Calmar ~1.10, vs SPY ~18% return, Sharpe ~1.13, Calmar ~0.97. Drawdowns can be larger (~54% vs ~19%), but upside and risk-adjusted performance are superior.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.57 | 1.66 | 0.24 | 0.49 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 793.64% | 15.7% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.96 | |
| 2,805,075.84% | 97.8% | 2.82% | 13.29% | 1.48 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$280,517,583.81Regulatory Fees
$410,852.06
Total Slippage
$3,925,002.32
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 12, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, regime switching, trend following, momentum, mean reversion, leveraged etfs, volatility hedging, global macro
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
EFA
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
Stocks
EWZ
iShares MSCI Brazil ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks