SPY (S&P-500) Strength Catcher V2 Medium Risk, Medium Return
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Switches among US stocks, commodities, global stocks and Treasuries using long‑term strength and trends. In stock uptrends it favors 3x S&P/Nasdaq, with brief volatility bets (UVXY) when markets look overheated or whipsawing.
First, compare long‑term strength of US stocks (SPY) vs commodities (DBC). If stocks lead and trend up, buy UPRO or TQQQ (3x), except switch briefly to UVXY (volatility) when stocks look overheated/whipsaw. If stocks lag, own DBC if rising; else the strongest of EFA/EEM/TLT/EWZ/SHY. Rebalance on >5% drift.
Legend: SPY=US stocks; DBC=commodities; UPRO=3x S&P; TQQQ=3x Nasdaq; UVXY=VIX vol; EFA=dev ex‑US; EEM=emerging; TLT=long US Treas; SHY=short US Treas; EWZ=Brazil.
Out-of-sample edge: trend-driven rotation across stocks, commodities and bonds aims for higher risk-adjusted returns than the S&P. OOS annualized return ~68.7% vs ~18.6%; Sharpe ~1.32 vs ~1.12. Note: drawdowns can be large (~54%).
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 12, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, relative-strength rotation, volatility timing, leveraged etfs, etf rotation, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
EFA
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
Stocks
EWZ
iShares MSCI Brazil ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks