SPY S&P500 Avoid All Market Crashes
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rule-based strategy that owns the S&P 500 in strong uptrends, but shifts into bonds, defensive stocks, or tactical tech/hedging positions when market conditions weaken.
This strategy first asks: “Is the U.S. stock market in a healthy uptrend?” It checks the S&P 500 using several smoothed price trends.
If yes, it simply owns SPY, which tracks the S&P 500.
If not, it gets defensive: it may buy Treasuries (IEI, SHV), consumer staples (XLP), or make tactical bets on tech/Nasdaq using funds that rise when tech rises—or even when it falls.
Out-of-sample: annualized return 26.9% vs 21.7% S&P; drawdown 10.2% vs 18.8%; Sharpe 1.71 vs 1.40; Calmar 2.64. It rides SPY uptrends, then shifts to defensives/tech for better risk-adjusted growth.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.13 | 0.53 | 0.4 | 0.63 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 679.17% | 14.92% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.93 | |
| 1,942.27% | 22.67% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 1.54 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$204,226.66Regulatory Fees
$317.71
Total Slippage
$2,530.75
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 3, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 3%
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, tactical asset allocation, crash protection, equities, treasuries, technology, inverse etfs, leveraged etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 12 assets in total
Ticker
Type
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
USD
ProShares Ultra Semiconductors
Stocks