SPY Multiple Moving Averages
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A rule-based, cash-inclusive, multi-asset strategy that toggles between SPY, XLK, and bond proxies (TLT/SHV) based on SPY trend and QQQ RSI momentum, with no fixed rebalance schedule and a 2% corridor for changes.
Think of this strategy as a decision tree that decides what to own based on two big ideas: (1) is the market in an uptrend, and (2) is tech showing extreme momentum. If the market looks healthy (SPY above its long-term average), the system leans into equities (SPY, with an optional tech tilt to XLK). If momentum signals suggest danger or overbought conditions, it shifts toward bonds (TLT or SHV) or even cash. RSI on QQQ is used as a quick pulse check of tech momentum, with thresholds around 80 (very overbought) and 30 (oversold) guiding hedge or tilt decisions. The strategy uses multiple moving averages to confirm trends, and tries to keep some cash in the mix to reduce risk. There is no fixed calendar rebalance; adjustments occur when signals move through a narrow tolerance (about 2%). Assets involved include SPY (broad market), XLK (tech), TLT (long bonds), SHV (short bonds); QQQ is used for momentum, not directly held in this structure.
Out-of-sample this cash-inclusive strategy beats the S&P: Sharpe 1.81 vs 1.30, annual return ~30% vs ~21.7%, max drawdown ~8% vs ~19%, and lower beta, thanks to tactical, multi-asset tilts and downside protection.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.12 | 0.5 | 0.53 | 0.73 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 569.43% | 10.44% | -2.02% | -1.16% | 0.6 | |
| 2,662% | 18.93% | -0.89% | 1.77% | 1.35 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$276,200.05Regulatory Fees
$686.93
Total Slippage
$4,573.48
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 16, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 2%
Type
Stocks
Category
Multi-asset, tactical allocation, trend-following, risk-managed
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 5 assets in total