SPY Multiple Moving Averages
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A 3-signal SPY trend strategy that shifts among SPY, long Treasuries, tech, or T‑bills based on SPY’s trend and extreme “heat/cold” readings from QQQ’s RSI.
SPY=S&P 500 (US stocks). QQQ=Nasdaq‑100 (tech‑heavy), used as a heat meter (RSI, a 0–100 hot/cold score). TLT=long US Treasuries. XLK=tech stocks. SHV=short‑term Treasuries (cash‑like). It splits money into 3 equal slices. Each checks a different SPY trend (short/med/long). If uptrend: buy SPY, unless QQQ is very hot (RSI>80) → TLT. If downtrend: hold SHV, unless QQQ is washed‑out (RSI<30) → XLK. Rebalances only when weights drift ~2%.
Out-of-sample, this 3-signal trend strategy targets ~30% annualized returns vs SPY's ~21.7%, with drawdown ~8% vs ~18.8%, and stronger risk metrics (Sharpe ~1.81, Calmar ~3.78, beta ~0.81)—more upside, less risk than the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.12 | 0.5 | 0.53 | 0.73 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 585.54% | 10.6% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.61 | |
| 2,687.24% | 19.02% | 1.3% | 1.87% | 1.35 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$278,723.77Regulatory Fees
$684.33
Total Slippage
$4,555.04
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 16, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 2%
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, tactical allocation, multi-timeframe, us stocks, treasuries, tech tilt, cash-like
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 5 assets in total