SPY minimum drawdown V3 | Garen Mod 9/5/22
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, four-part, risk-on/risk-off strategy. It leans into tech (often with 2x–3x Nasdaq ETFs) when trends are healthy or after dips, and quickly shifts to hedges (inverse Nasdaq, Treasuries, volatility) when conditions overheat or weaken, plus an oil trend sleeve.
The portfolio has 4 sleeves: 20% S&P stock picker, 25% QLD tactical, 25% TQQQ tactical, 30% Oil/Bonds. It rebalances daily.
- Uses trend (price vs 200-day average) and a “hot/cold” score (RSI: low=cold, high=hot).
- In calm uptrends it buys tech (QLD/TQQQ or big tech stocks), especially after dips (low RSI).
- When markets get “too hot” or weak, it flips to hedges: inverse Nasdaq (SQQQ/QID), Treasuries (TLT/SHY/BSV), or volatility (UVXY).
- Holds oil (DBO) only when oil is rising.
Out-of-sample, this four-sleeve trend strategy offers stronger risk-adjusted upside vs SPY: annualized return ~59.6% vs 35.6%, Sharpe ~2.94 vs 2.72, Calmar ~6.19; hedges add resilience, though max drawdown ~9.63% vs 5.07%.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.55 | 0.57 | 0.14 | 0.38 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 280.12% | 13.19% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.78 | |
| 62,454.58% | 81.78% | 12.44% | 16.06% | 2.38 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$6,255,458.10Regulatory Fees
$15,573.08
Total Slippage
$96,820.06
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 9, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, risk-on/off, leveraged etfs, trend + mean reversion, volatility hedging, oil/bonds hedge
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 79 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AAPL
Apple Inc.
Stocks
ACN
Accenture PLC
Stocks
ADBE
Adobe Inc.
Stocks
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
Stocks
AMN
AMN Healthcare Services
Stocks
AMZN
Amazon.Com Inc
Stocks
ANET
Arista Networks
Stocks
AOS
A.O. Smith Corporation
Stocks
AOSL
Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited
Stocks
ASML
ASML Holding NV
Stocks