SPY minimum drawdown
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Daily, risk‑managed mix: small S&P core, a 30% sleeve that flips risk‑on/off by recent S&P weakness, a tactical Nasdaq dip‑buyer, plus steady dollar/bond/gold and oil‑trend hedges—aiming for S&P‑like returns with smaller drawdowns.
- Always 10% in VOO (S&P 500 fund).
- 30%: if the S&P hasn’t fallen >5% in ~2 weeks, use SSO (2x S&P) + TMF (3x long US Treasuries); else use SHY/VTIP (short‑term Treasuries) + GLD (gold).
- 20% buys Nasdaq‑100 dips: after a 5%+ week drop in QQQ, buy TQQQ (3x) unless a 1‑day pop >5%; otherwise sit in SHY/GLD.
- 20% in UUP (US dollar) + SHY.
- 20% in DBO (oil) when 1‑month trend is up; else SHY/BSV.
Out-of-sample Sharpe 1.01 vs S&P 0.82; max drawdown 15.4% vs 22.1%; Calmar ~0.79; annualized return 12.23% vs 14.01% for S&P. Nearly S&P-like upside with a materially smoother, lower-risk ride.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04 | 0.53 | 0.66 | 0.82 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 493.85% | 14.28% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.88 | |
| 371.43% | 12.32% | 5.49% | 8.8% | 1.12 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$47,143.40Regulatory Fees
$149.07
Total Slippage
$537.72
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 13, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Multi-asset, tactical allocation, drawdown control, trend-following, hedged, leveraged etfs, risk-managed
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 12 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
DBO
Invesco DB Oil Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks