SPY market times the SVIX (Parallel, 4 Day MA)
Today’s Change (Feb 22, 2026)
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About
After quick dips in the S&P 500, this strategy bets against market fear by buying SVIX (profits when volatility falls). If fear is spiking, it parks in PULS. A 200‑day trend filter makes entries stricter in bear markets; exposure scales 0/50/100%.
Daily process:
1) Trend: If SPY (S&P 500) is above its 200‑day average = Bull; below = Bear.
2) Dip: If SPY is short‑term “oversold” (RSI is a 0–100 heat score; low = stretched down) or below its 4‑day average, that flags a dip.
3) If a dip and fear isn’t spiking (UVXY’s RSI ≤ 70), buy SVIX (wins when volatility falls). Otherwise hold PULS (cash‑like).
Bear markets require a deeper dip. Exposure scales 0/50/100% SVIX.
Dynamic volatility-timing strategy with 0/50/100% SVIX and a 200-day trend filter. Out-of-sample return ~17.75% vs SPY ~18.29%; Sharpe ~0.60 vs ~1.03. Offers diversification and explicit volatility hedging when fear spikes.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.32 | 1.17 | 0.27 | 0.52 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58.4% | 12.6% | 1.75% | 5.97% | 0.76 | |
| 357.43% | 48.02% | 10.03% | 23.21% | 1.2 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$45,743.26Regulatory Fees
$260.06
Total Slippage
$1,533.87
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 19, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Short volatility, tactical allocation, market timing, trend filter, inverse etf, risk management