SPY Games
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About
A daily, tactical S&P 500 strategy: first check inflation trends (RINF), then use recent-move scores (RSI) and a 200‑day trend to switch among S&P 500 bull/bear funds, long Treasuries, or a defensive split of short S&P and gold.
Daily steps:
1) Inflation regime: is RINF above its 200‑day average (long‑term trend)?
2) If yes: compare 15‑day RSI (0–100 recent‑moves score) of BND (bonds) vs QQQ (big tech). If bonds score higher: use SPY’s 10‑day RSI: <65 buy SPXL (3x bull); >75 buy SPXS (3x bear); else buy TMF (3x long Treas). If bonds don’t: >80 buy SPXS; <25 buy SPXL; else: if SPY > 200‑day hold SPY, otherwise split SH (−1x S&P) and GLD (gold).
3) If inflation not up: <30 buy SPXL; else: if SPY > 200‑day hold SPY, otherwise split SH and GLD.
Tickers: SPY=US stocks; SPXL/SPXS=3x bull/bear; SH=−1x; GLD=gold; TMF=3x 20+yr Treas; BND=bonds; QQQ=Nasdaq‑100; RINF=inflation‑expectations.
Out-of-sample edge: ~31.44% annualized return vs SPY ~18.19%, Calmar ~0.67, and diversified risk from inflation regime filtering plus cross-asset timing (bonds, gold, leveraged ETFs) for higher upside with managed risk.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 17, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend + mean reversion, inflation regime filter, leveraged etfs, us equities, treasuries, gold, shorting
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
RINF
ProShares Inflation Expectations ETF
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPXS
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks