SPY For The Long Term
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Rule-based shifts among SPY, bonds, volatility, and occasional leveraged tech or inverse positions. Follows SPY’s long-term trend (200‑day average) and short-term “heat” (RSI). Mostly SPY in uptrends; adds hedges or bond/short tilts in weakness. Uses leveraged/inverse ETFs.
Tickers: SPY=S&P 500; QQQ=Nasdaq‑100; TLT=long Treas.; BND=US bonds; SHY=1‑3y Treas.; VIXY=volatility; SH=‑1x S&P; TECL=3x tech. MA=avg price; RSI=0–100 short‑term “heat”.
Trend: SPY>200‑day MA→bull; else defensive.
Bull: RSI10(SPY)>80→VIXY; else if RSI60>60→45% SPY/55% TLT; else 100% SPY.
Defensive: RSI10(QQQ)<31→TECL; else if SPY<30‑day MA→50% BND + 50% (SPY if RSI10(SHY)>RSI10(SDS) else SH); else 100% SPY. No set rebalance; 5% drift.
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets ~26.9% annualized return vs SPY’s ~22.2%, with a Calmar ~0.95 for solid risk-adjusted growth. Tactical hedges and bond tilts help cushion dips, though drawdowns can be larger in harsh markets.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.23 | 1 | 0.41 | 0.64 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 605.37% | 13.78% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.84 | |
| 18,224.82% | 41.11% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 1.42 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,832,481.55Regulatory Fees
$3,391.51
Total Slippage
$22,626.47
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 3, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend + momentum, us equities, treasuries, bonds, volatility hedge, inverse etfs, leveraged etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SDS
ProShares UltraShort S&P500
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
VIXY
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks