SPY For The Long Term
Today’s Change (Jun 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A SPY-first, trend-following plan. In uptrends it mostly holds SPY, sometimes mixes in long Treasuries or briefly hedges with VIXY when things look overheated. In downtrends it may try a tech rebound (TECL) or shift toward bonds or a mild short (SH).
It’s a rule set built around SPY (S&P 500). Trend test: price vs 200‑day average. Uptrend: hold SPY; if a 10‑day heat gauge (0–100) >80, switch to VIXY (volatility hedge). If strength is high but not extreme, hold 45% SPY + 55% TLT (long Treasuries). Downtrend: if tech is washed‑out (QQQ gauge <31) buy TECL (3× tech) for a bounce; else if also below the 30‑day average, hold 50% BND (bonds) and 50% SPY or SH (inverse S&P) per a bond‑vs‑bear check. Else SPY.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~29.3% vs SPY ~22.1%, powered by a rule-based trend system with hedges and bond ballast. Calmar ~1.04 signals solid risk-adjusted upside; drawdowns may exceed SPY in tougher markets.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.24 | 1 | 0.41 | 0.64 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 672.86% | 14.18% | 1.36% | 13.5% | 0.86 | |
| 21,624.26% | 41.74% | 2.5% | 22.57% | 1.44 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,172,426.16Regulatory Fees
$3,101.77
Total Slippage
$27,155.60
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 3, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend following,tactical allocation,us equities,bonds,volatility hedge,leveraged etf,inverse etf,rules-based
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SDS
ProShares UltraShort S&P500
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
VIXY
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks