SPY - Bull or Hedge
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A tactical S&P 500 plan that rides uptrends (SPY), buys dips with leverage (SPXL), and shifts to defenses—gold (GLD), US dollar (UUP), or brief UVXY—when fear or downtrends appear. Uses 200‑day trend, RSI, and panic spikes to switch.
It watches three things: the market’s long‑term trend (SPY vs its 200‑day average), short‑term “hot/cold” readings (10‑day RSI), and fear spikes (UVXY). In uptrends it holds SPY and sometimes the 3× bull SPXL on dips. In downtrends it mostly hides in gold (GLD) and the US dollar (UUP). If fear jumps, it may briefly buy UVXY or move to gold/dollar. Gold vs dollar is sized toward the calmer one.
Out-of-sample edge: higher risk-adjusted returns and lower drawdown vs the S&P 500. Sharpe ~1.61 vs ~1.29; Calmar ~3.50; annualized return ~43% vs ~22%, driven by regime switching and hedging that ride uptrends and protect downside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | -0.19 | 0.01 | -0.09 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 616.19% | 14.71% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.9 | |
| 40,685.88% | 52.05% | 0.54% | -1.03% | 1.39 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$4,078,587.82Regulatory Fees
$8,101.89
Total Slippage
$54,309.81
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 21, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, regime switching, trend following, volatility hedging, leveraged etfs, risk parity, multi-asset
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SPXU
ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks