SPY - Bull or Hedge
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Rule-based, regime-switching strategy that shifts between stock-heavy bets (including leverage) and hedges (gold/dollar/bonds) using price trends, momentum, and volatility signals.
A rule-based decision tree continually evaluates trends, momentum, volatility, and cross-asset relationships. If signals favor risk-taking, the plan tilts toward SPY and leveraged stock bets (SPXL) with a core 85% weight in a risk-parity style mix. If signals favor safety, it shifts to hedges (GLD, UUP) and bonds (TMF) while reducing stock exposure. Signals come from moving averages, current price vs. long-term averages, and RSI on volatility ETFs like UVXY to sense volatility surges. Rebalancing is not calendar-based but rule-based, and a small corridor width controls how aggressively weights can move. The tickers are stock-market proxies, volatility hedges, and traditional hedges (gold, dollar, bonds).
Dynamic, rule-based strategy delivers higher risk-adjusted upside vs S&P 500: out-of-sample return ~43% vs SPY ~22%, Sharpe ~1.61 vs ~1.29, and max drawdown ~12% vs ~19%.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | -0.18 | 0.01 | -0.09 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 603.28% | 14.54% | -2.02% | -1.16% | 0.89 | |
| 40,611.06% | 51.9% | -0.41% | 0.47% | 1.38 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$4,071,105.62Regulatory Fees
$8,215.59
Total Slippage
$55,120.50
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 21, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Multi-asset strategy, dynamic allocation, equity leverage, volatility hedging, risk parity, tactical asset allocation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPXU
ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks