SPY Avoid All Market Crashes
Today’s Change (Nov 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A market-timing strategy that owns the S&P 500 in strong markets, shifts to bonds and defensive sectors in weak markets, and may trade aggressive Nasdaq long/short funds during deeper selloffs.
This strategy first asks: “Is the U.S. stock market in a healthy uptrend?” If yes, it simply owns SPY, which tracks the S&P 500.
If not, it becomes defensive. Sometimes it buys beaten-down tech (XLK) for a rebound, but often it moves into safer assets like Treasury bonds (IEI/SHV) or consumer staples (XLP). In deeper market trouble, it uses a tactical Nasdaq module that can switch between tech, semiconductor funds, or even funds that rise when the Nasdaq falls.
Out-of-sample edge: stronger risk-adjusted equity exposure with downside protection. OOS Sharpe 1.67 vs SPY 1.35; annualized return 26.2% vs 20.7%; max drawdown 10.17% vs 18.76%; Calmar 2.58; beta ~0.81. More upside, less risk vs the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.13 | 0.53 | 0.4 | 0.63 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 672.84% | 14.82% | -1.04% | -0.34% | 0.92 | |
| 1,917.57% | 22.51% | -1.43% | -0.74% | 1.53 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$201,757.05Regulatory Fees
$330.82
Total Slippage
$2,651.10
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 3, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 3%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, trend following, risk management, us equities, technology, bonds, inverse etfs, leveraged etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 12 assets in total
Ticker
Type
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
USD
ProShares Ultra Semiconductors
Stocks