S&P500 Hedged Bull Fund
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A daily, leveraged S&P 500 strategy that watches interest‑rate trends and volatility. It rides UPRO in friendly regimes and rotates into a lower‑volatility mix of Treasuries (IEF/TMF), gold (GLD), and the US dollar (UUP) when risks rise.
Daily: 1) Are bonds (BND) beating cash‑like T‑bills (BIL) over 60 days? If yes, rates not rising; if no, rising.
- Not rising: mostly hold UPRO (3x S&P 500). After a >5% 10‑day drop plus a vol spike (SVXY down), flip to TMF (3x long Treasuries); otherwise stay in UPRO.
- Rising: if bonds bounced in 2 days, hold 55% UPRO + 45% of IEF (7–10y Treasuries), UUP (US dollar), GLD (gold), TMF, sized by recent calmness. If bonds still fall, hold only that mix (adds UPRO if calm).
Adaptive, regime-aware strategy: leverages UPRO in favorable regimes, hedges into Treasuries/gold/USD when rates rise or volatility spikes. Diversifies beyond SPY. Out-of-sample: ~18.2% return, Calmar ~0.34 (vs SPY's higher raw return).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.15 | 1.45 | 0.45 | 0.67 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 622.06% | 14.72% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.9 | |
| 7,820.11% | 35.48% | -3.34% | 2.42% | 1.02 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$792,011.01Regulatory Fees
$3,581.96
Total Slippage
$22,850.61
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 1, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged s&p 500, tactical allocation, rate regime filter, volatility timing, risk‑parity hedging, multi‑asset, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks