S&P500 Hedged Bull Fund
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A daily, tactical S&P 500 plan: stay 3x long stocks (UPRO) when rates are steady; after sharp, volatile drops, flip to 3x long Treasuries (TMF); when rates rise, blend stocks with safer assets (Treasuries, dollar, gold) using a “calmer gets more” sizing.
1) It first compares a broad bond fund (BND) to T-bills (BIL) over ~3 months to tell if rates are rising.
2) If not rising: it stays in UPRO (3x S&P 500). After a >5% 10-day S&P drop and a volatility spike (SVXY down), it switches to TMF (3x long 20+yr Treasuries).
3) If rising: it mixes UPRO with calmer “safe havens”: IEF (7-10yr Treasuries), UUP (US dollar), GLD (gold), TMF, sized by recent calmness.
Rate-aware, regime-switching strategy that rides stocks in calm times and pivots to Treasuries, USD, and gold during volatility. Out-of-sample: ~18% annualized return with diversification vs SPY; but higher drawdown risk in extreme stress.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.15 | 1.45 | 0.45 | 0.67 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 637.49% | 14.93% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.91 | |
| 8,133.51% | 35.95% | -0.01% | 1.15% | 1.03 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$823,351.38Regulatory Fees
$3,547.82
Total Slippage
$22,622.90
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 1, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, trend/risk regime, volatility-aware, leveraged etfs, multi-asset, us equities, treasuries, gold, dollar
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks