SP500 - Alternate Prevent Crash and Leverage
Today’s Change (Mar 6, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A tactical S&P 500 plan: hide in cash‑like T‑bills when markets look overheated, rotate to safe assets when still strong, use 2× S&P when warm (not hot), hold regular S&P in healthy uptrends, and buy beaten‑up Tech or Treasuries in downtrends. Rebalanced daily.
It reads SPY’s “heat” (RSI = 0–100 hot/cold) and long‑term trend (200‑day avg).
If RSI>50: very hot → SHV (T‑bills); else if still strong → best of IEF/GLD/BSV; else → SSO (2× S&P).
If RSI≤50: uptrend → SPY; downtrend → if Tech very oversold (QQQ RSI<30) → XLK; else → IEI. Daily.
Tickers: SPY=S&P; SSO=2×; QQQ/TQQQ=Nasdaq‑100; XLK=Tech; IEF/IEI=US Treas.; SHV=T‑bills; BSV=short bonds; GLD=gold.
Out-of-sample Sharpe 2.15 vs SPY 1.30; return 61% vs 26%; max drawdown 7.9% vs 13.7%. A rules-based strategy that leverages when favorable and cuts risk in heat, delivering higher upside with less drawdown than the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.14 | 0.67 | 0.38 | 0.62 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 720.06% | 14.06% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.85 | |
| 3,366.48% | 24.82% | -2.35% | -5.59% | 1.28 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$346,647.75Regulatory Fees
$2,290.86
Total Slippage
$14,409.89
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 25, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend following, risk-on/risk-off, leveraged etfs, crash protection, us equities, tech tilt, treasuries, gold
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
XLK
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks