SOXL Scale-In Test
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, four-signal scale-in strategy for SOXL using EMA-based trend signals and equal-weighted cash allocations, with BIL as a cash proxy when signals aren’t favorable.
Every day, the strategy splits cash into four equal parts. For each part, it checks one rule about SOXL:
- Is SOXL price above EMA(200)?
- Is SOXL price above EMA(20)?
- Is EMA(20) above EMA(50)?
- Is EMA(50) above EMA(200)?
If the rule is true for that part, the part goes into SOXL; if false, it goes into BIL (short-term Treasuries). This creates a four-signal, equal-weighted scale-in approach to positioning. The rules are purely technical and use moving averages to gauge trend strength and direction across different timeframes. Assets:
- SOXL: Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares (leveraged semiconductor exposure)
- BIL: SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF (cash-like safety).
Rebalance occurs daily, so the allocations can shift every trading day based on the signals.
Out-of-sample annualized return: 46.8% vs SPY’s 22.2%. Four independent EMA signals with equal-weighted cash vs BIL capture momentum in semis while preserving capital when trends weaken—strong upside with disciplined risk vs the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1 | 1.61 | 0.27 | 0.52 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 597.14% | 13.63% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.83 | |
| 1,546.21% | 20.24% | -11.04% | 42.7% | 0.62 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$164,620.72Regulatory Fees
$394.08
Total Slippage
$1,786.99
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 15, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged sector etf, trend-following, scale-in, daily rebalance, cash proxy