Sometimes π©πͺπΆπ²πΈπ· Simplified | NOVA Mods Frontrunner only
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About
An extremely high-risk, all-or-nothing UVIX bet triggered only when six major indicators show extreme momentum (>80 RSI on SPY, QQQ, VTV, VOX, XLP, and XLF). If met, allocate 100% to UVIX; if not, park in BIL cash. No routine rebalancing; a small tolerance for drift (0.1) exists. Used as a volatility bet with a cash fallback, it aims to profit from sudden volatility spikes but carries large drawdown risk if the market remains tranquil.
What it does, in plain language:
1) RSI is a momentum measure: it scores how strong a price move has been over the last 10 days. Values above 80 suggest a very strong, stretched move.
2) The system looks at six market signals: SPY (broad market), QQQ (tech-heavy market), VTV (value stock tilt), VOX (communication services/sector focus), XLP (consumer staples), and XLF (financials). It computes a 10-day RSI for each.
3) If SPY RSI > 80, the strategy passes the first gate. Then it requires QQQ RSI > 80, then VTV > 80, then VOX > 80, then XLP > 80, and finally XLF > 80. If all six are above 80, the strategy takes an all-in position in UVIX (100% of the allocated risk budget).
4) If any of the RSI checks fail, the strategy does not allocate to UVIX and instead places weight into a cash proxy (BIL). The structure repeatedly points to UVIX when the conditions are met, and to BIL when they are not.
5) The βwt-cash-equalβ and β100/100β weights imply a strict, all-or-nothing UVIX exposure when the entry path is satisfied; otherwise the system defaults to cash.
6) Rebalancing: there is a defined corridor (0.1) but no automatic periodic rebalancing; adjustments only occur when the entry/exit conditions trigger.
7) Sector/asset focus: the signals come from broadly diversified market components (SPY, QQQ, etc.) plus a volatility instrument UVIX; the cash proxy (BIL) is used to shelter capital. This is not a typical diversified stock strategy; it is a highly selective, volatility-focused play designed to capitalize on extreme momentum and potential volatility spikes.
Disciplined volatility-momentum strategy: only fires on extreme signals, else stays in cash. Out-of-sample: 4.24% annualized return, 14.9% max drawdown, low SPX beta (-0.055). Offers diversification and downside protection vs the S&P 500.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 3, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Volatility, momentum, risk-on/off, multi-asset, cash management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
UVIX
2x Long VIX Futures ETF
Stocks
VOX
Vanguard Communication Services ETF
Stocks
VTV
Vanguard Value ETF
Stocks
XLF
State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks