Some TQQQ in Good Times w/Bear BDRY
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Rules-based, daily market-timing system: chase tech strength with TQQQ in good times; quickly rotate to bonds, cash, gold, or inverse/volatility ETFs when warnings appear, guided by trend/RSI and cross‑asset signals (shipping, bonds, managed futures).
Daily, it reads simple thermometers of risk/trend: price vs moving averages and RSI (a 0–100 “hot/cold” score of recent buying vs selling). It first checks cross‑asset clues (shipping BDRY, credit LQD/CORP, Treasuries, managed futures KMLM vs defensive BTAL). If risk‑on, it rides tech via TQQQ/QQQ; if mixed, it leans to bonds (TLT/TMF) or cash (BIL); if risk‑off, it hedges/shorts (PSQ/SQQQ/SH), uses volatility (UVXY/VIXM), or gold/utilities.
Out-of-sample edge: Calmar ~0.64, 11.6% annualized in tough markets, beta ~0.92. Regime-switching blends tech upside with hedges (bonds, cash, gold) to dampen drawdowns vs SPY.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.71 | 0.46 | 0.09 | 0.3 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75.27% | 12.31% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.76 | |
| 3,436.07% | 109.11% | -1.91% | -5.75% | 2.95 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$353,607.44Regulatory Fees
$1,637.92
Total Slippage
$10,404.85
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 11, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, trend-following, market timing, leveraged/inverse etfs, risk-on/risk-off, cross-asset signals, hedging
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 42 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BDRY
Breakwave Dry Bulk Shipping ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
CORP
PIMCO Investment Grade Corporate Bond Index Exchange-Traded Fund
Stocks
EDZ
Direxion Daily Emerging Markets Bear 3x Shares
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks