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Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A daily, momentum‑based switch: if tech beats defensive “alt” funds on short‑term momentum, go heavy into 3× tech (TQQQ/TECL); otherwise sit in T‑bills (BIL). Uses 10/20/5/20‑day lookbacks in a strict checklist.
Each day it scores short‑term momentum (RSI = a score of recent up vs down days) for chip stocks (SMH) or broad tech (VGT) versus “safer” funds: managed‑futures (WTMF, CTA), a long/short fund (FTLS), and a rate‑hedge (PFIX). If tech’s score is higher, it buys aggressive 3× tech (TQQQ; or 50/50 TQQQ+TECL on the first test). If none beat the “safer” funds, it parks in T‑bills (BIL). It checks 10‑, 20‑, 5‑, then 20‑day windows daily.
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets tech leadership with leverage. OOS annualized return ~56% vs SPY ~18%; Sharpe ~1.00 vs ~0.96; Calmar ~1.52; alpha ~0.13%. Warn: higher drawdown (~37% vs ~19%). Higher upside, with tech risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.32 | 2.8 | 0.66 | 0.81 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 69.96% | 14.36% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.85 | |
| 794.56% | 74.09% | 5.67% | -15.27% | 1.22 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$89,455.78Regulatory Fees
$267.41
Total Slippage
$1,647.17
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 1, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical momentum, relative strength, leveraged tech, risk-on/risk-off, daily rebalanced
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
CTA
Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF
Stocks
FTLS
First Trust Long/Short Equity ETF
Stocks
PFIX
Simplify Interest Rate Hedge ETF
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
VGT
Vanguard Information Technology ETF
Stocks
WTMF
WisdomTree Managed Futures Strategy Fund
Stocks