So Easy A Caveman Can Do It
Today’s Change (Mar 6, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A simple two‑sleeve, rules‑based mix: 70% stays in broad stocks (VTI), but jumps to tech (XLK) when the Nasdaq is very oversold and moves to cash‑like Treasuries (SHV) when overheated. 30% is defensive—hedges in downtrends, otherwise rests in short‑term Treasuries (SHY).
Two parts.
70%: If QQQ’s 10‑day RSI <31, buy XLK (tech). If QQQ or SPY RSI >80, park in SHV (cash‑like Treasuries). Otherwise hold VTI (total US market).
30%: If SPY is below its 200‑day average, and QQQ RSI <31, buy XLK; else hedge using VIXY (volatility) and PSQ (short Nasdaq). If SPY is above its 200‑day, sit in SHY (short‑term Treasuries). RSI is a 0–100 “hot/cold” gauge.
Similar upside to the S&P 500 but with far less downside. Out-of-sample: Sharpe ~1.34 vs 1.21, Calmar ~1.91, max drawdown ~10.9% vs 18.8%. Annualized return ~20.77% vs 21.05% - strong risk-adjusted performance with downside protection.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07 | 0.6 | 0.74 | 0.86 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 596.64% | 13.88% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.84 | |
| 770.47% | 15.59% | 1.79% | 1.41% | 1.28 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$87,046.51Regulatory Fees
$211.13
Total Slippage
$1,389.69
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 3, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 15%
Type
Stocks
Category
Rules-based, tactical allocation, us equities, technology tilt, mean reversion, trend-following, hedging, volatility, short-term treasuries
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
VIXY
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
Stocks
XLK
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks