So Easy A Caveman Can Do It
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Two-sleeve, rules-based plan: 70% buys tech on sharp dips, parks in T‑bills when markets are overheated, otherwise holds the total US market. 30% is defensive: in downtrends it hedges with volatility/short Nasdaq; in uptrends it stays in short Treasuries.
RSI: a 0–100 “speedometer” of recent moves; <31 = oversold, >80 = overheated.
70%: If QQQ (Nasdaq‑100) is oversold → buy XLK (tech). If QQQ or SPY (S&P 500) is overheated → park in SHV (T‑bills). Otherwise hold VTI (total US stocks).
30%: If SPY is below its 200‑day average: if QQQ is oversold → XLK; else split between VIXY (volatility) and PSQ (short Nasdaq). If SPY is above its 200‑day → SHY (short Treasuries).
This rules-based strategy delivers better risk-adjusted returns than the S&P 500: out-of-sample Sharpe ~1.34 vs 1.21, drawdowns ~11% vs ~19%, beta ~0.77, Calmar ~1.91, with similar upside and stronger downside protection.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07 | 0.6 | 0.74 | 0.86 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 628.12% | 14.1% | 6.16% | 5.09% | 0.86 | |
| 799.27% | 15.71% | 4.5% | 4.99% | 1.28 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$89,927.13Regulatory Fees
$219.66
Total Slippage
$1,446.93
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 3, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 15%
Type
Stocks
Category
Us equities,tactical allocation,momentum (rsi),trend following,defensive hedging,technology tilt,treasuries,volatility
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
VIXY
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
Stocks
XLK
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks